by Thomas Aubrey | Feb 24, 2023 | Uncategorized
The late economist Axel Leijonhufvud noted in a 1979 essay that the theory of the interest rate mechanism remains at the centre of the confusion in modern macroeconomics. All the inconclusive quarrels, he argued, largely stem from this source. While financial market...
by Thomas Aubrey | Dec 2, 2022 | Uncategorized
Investors often fail to distinguish between uncertainty and risk. This is partly because there is an army of strategists advising investors how to manage risk through market narratives. These narratives attempt to explain away the complexity of the world we live in,...
by Thomas Aubrey | Aug 30, 2022 | Uncategorized
The US equity market has had a surprising rebound this summer; rallying more than 17% between mid-June to mid-August. The narrative for the first half of the year had been focused on a pending recession, given that a sustained decline in economic output tends to...
by Thomas Aubrey | Jun 1, 2022 | Uncategorized
Making the right asset allocation decision is critical if pension funds are to generate sufficient returns to meet their liabilities. A recent analysis by GlobalSWF indicates that US public pension funds are only 75% funded and face a $1.3 trillion shortfall. Other...
by Thomas Aubrey | Mar 1, 2022 | Uncategorized
Private property plays a central role in liberal democracies as it protects a company’s right to contract with other agents in order to generate an income stream from its assets. Knowing that financial claims from contracts will be protected facilitates the trading of...
